Iran-US-Israel War: 39-Day Conflict Kills Supreme Leader Khamenei, Ceasefire Brokered by Pakistan on April 7

Strait of Hormuz Deal Imminent; Saudi-Pakistan-Turkiye Defence Pact Signed Amid US-Iran War

Two major geopolitical developments: the US expects a deal between Iran and Oman to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, vital for global oil supply, while Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, and Turkiye have signed a joint defence pact in Mecca. These events reshape West Asian security and energy dynamics, directly impacting global inflation and regional alliances.

Strait of Hormuz Control Dispute: US Patrolling, Iran Claims – Shipping Down 92% to 6 Vessels/Day

Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for 20% of global oil and LNG, remains disrupted as US and Iran dispute control. Shipping traffic is down 92% from pre-war levels, pushing oil prices to $91.79/barrel, directly impacting India's import bill and inflation.

Pakistan Army Chief Visits Iran: Talks on Reopening Strait of Hormuz, De-escalation of US-Iran Conflict

Pakistan's Army Chief visited Iran to discuss reopening the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz and de-escalating the US-Iran conflict. The strait, through which a fifth of global oil passed before the conflict began, remains choked. This visit is part of Pakistan's broader mediation efforts, having previously acted as a guarantor for an interim peace agreement that has since derailed.

US Strikes IRGC Targets in Strait of Hormuz; 5 Killed in Wedding, Oil Prices Cross $95/Barrel

The US and Iran have exchanged significant military strikes, ending a month-long lull. US Central Command targeted IRGC air-defence and maritime sites in response to attempted attacks on commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. Iran retaliated with missiles and drones, hitting a wedding venue in southern Iran, killing five and wounding dozens. The Strait of Hormuz remains largely disrupted, pushing Brent crude above $95/barrel and raising global energy security concerns.

UN-Backed Fact-Finding Mission Finds 'Reasonable Grounds' for US War Crimes in Iran Strikes; 178 Civilians Killed

UN Human Rights Council's fact-finding mission on Iran has found 'reasonable grounds' that the United States committed war crimes in two airstrikes on February 28, 2026, killing at least 178 civilians, including children at a school in Minab. The report also alleges crimes against humanity by the Iranian government, highlighting the dual threats faced by Iranian civilians.

Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Turkey Sign Trilateral Defence Pact in Jeddah Amid Iran Conflict

Pakistan, Turkey, and Saudi Arabia have signed a trilateral defence agreement in Jeddah, creating a new Sunni-majority security axis as the Iran conflict reshapes Middle East alliances. The pact, signed by Erdogan, Sharif, and MBS, comes amid Gulf security vulnerabilities and Strait of Hormuz disruptions. India will closely watch this development given Turkey's growing defence ties with Pakistan.

US Imposes Sanctions on 60 Iran-Linked Entities; Iran Threatens Strait of Hormuz Oil Chokepoint

The US has widened economic sanctions on Iran, targeting 60 entities and vessels, while Tehran retaliates by threatening military action and blacklisting 45 tankers in the Strait of Hormuz. For India, which relies heavily on Persian Gulf oil, this escalation could raise energy costs and test diplomatic balancing. The situation directly impacts global oil supply, with the Strait carrying ~20% of world oil use.

Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Türkiye Sign Joint Defence Pact Amid West Asia Turmoil

Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, and Türkiye signed a joint defence agreement in Mecca on August 7, pledging collective security amid reduced US presence and ongoing wars in West Asia. While symbolically significant, the pact's credibility is questioned as it was signed during active conflicts, making deterrence uncertain.