HSBC India Services PMI Falls to 58.1 in February Amid Rising Input Costs and Slower Demand

OECD Upgrades India's GDP Growth to 7.1% for FY 2026-27; Multiple Agencies Raise Outlook

The OECD has raised India's GDP growth forecast for FY 2026-27 to 7.1% from 6.3%, joining S&P, Fitch, and Moody's in upgrading India's outlook. All agencies cite domestic resilience and robust demand despite global headwinds from the West Asia crisis. Students should note the convergence of global forecasts and the projected slowdown in the second half of the fiscal year.

Global Agencies Upgrade India GDP Forecast to ~7%, RBI May Hike Repo Rate 25 bps as Inflation Pressures Build

Multiple global agencies (ADB, S&P, OECD, Moody's) have raised India's FY26 growth forecast to around 7%, driven by strong IIP, capex, and exports. However, inflation is expected to average 5.1% and the RBI may raise its policy rate by 25 bps, with farm sector risks from El Niño adding to uncertainty.

India’s Gold Demand Shifts: Investment ETFs Hit Record 20 Tonnes, Jewellery Falls 17% in H1 2026

India's gold market is undergoing a structural shift: jewellery demand is falling (down 17% in H1 2026) while investment demand via ETFs, bars, and coins is surging. This dual-track trend, alongside a 124% YoY rise in gold-backed loans, signals financialisation of gold and holds major implications for India's current account, monetary policy, and financial stability.

Japan Credit Rating Agency Upgrades India to A- Sovereign Rating After 36 Years

Japan Credit Rating Agency upgraded India's sovereign rating from BBB+ to A- on September 2, 2026, ending a 36-year gap. This unsolicited upgrade validates India's structural reforms and macroeconomic stability, and pressures other agencies like S&P, Moody's, and Fitch to follow. The upgrade can lower risk weights for banks under Basel III, boosting bond demand and FDI.

India's LPG Imports from US Hit 67% as West Asia Supply Falls 85% Amid Hormuz Crisis

India's LPG imports from the US have surged to 67% of total, a massive shift from the earlier 10% target. This diversification comes as imports from West Asia dropped 85% between February and June 2026, highlighting the strategic importance of reducing reliance on the Strait of Hormuz. For UPSC/Banking students, this is a key case study in energy security, geopolitical risk, and trade diversification.

Kudankulam Nuclear Reactor Costs Surge 55%: Impact on India's Nuclear Expansion Plans

Cost of four under-construction nuclear reactors at Kudankulam has risen by 55% to ₹1,38,330 crore, driven by Russia-Ukraine war. This poses a challenge to India's ambitious nuclear expansion plans and could increase electricity tariffs, especially as the government opens the sector to private participation.

TN Budget 2026: TVK Govt Faces Fiscal Tightrope – ₹7,480 Cr Scheme Costs, Ahluwalia Panel on Revenue, OPS Demand Unmet

The TVK-led Tamil Nadu government presented its maiden Budget balancing costly election promises (free electricity boost to 200 units, crop loan waiver to ₹75,000) against a fiscal crisis – the Finance Minister described the treasury as 'overburdened with debt and leaking holes'. A White Paper admits fiscal consolidation will take at least two years, while the government aims to raise ₹15,000 crore through a new committee headed by Montek Singh Ahluwalia. The move disappoints government employees expecting OPS restoration.

JCRA Upgrades India's Sovereign Rating to A- on 7.7% GDP Growth, NPA Ratio Falls to 1.8%

Japan Credit Rating Agency (JCRA) upgraded India's sovereign rating to A- from BBB+, citing strong economic growth of 7.7% in FY2026, robust private consumption, public investment, and improvements in the banking sector. The upgrade reflects India's sustained growth trajectory and enhanced financial stability, with gross NPA ratio falling to 1.8% due to IBC and RBI supervision.