The US-Iran MoU reshapes West Asian geopolitics, marking a strategic defeat for Israel as its main ally cuts a deal with its main adversary. With a 60-day timeline for a final deal, Israel faces a dilemma: continue its Lebanon campaign risking US friction, or convert military gains into diplomatic outcomes. Netanyahu's political survival is at stake with elections three months away.
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- ›MoU Timeline: 60 days to negotiate final deal
- ›Buffer Zone Depth: ~10 km inside Lebanon
- ›Target this Data: 60-day timeline for final US-Iran deal
- ›Target this Data: Israel's security buffer zone ~10 km inside Lebanon
- ›Target this Data: Israeli elections ~3 months away
- ›Target this Nodal Body: US, Iran, Israel, Hezbollah
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