US-Israel vs Iran War Threatens Stagflation; 1970s Oil Shocks Revisited Amid Negative Supply Shock

Global Refinery Attacks Spike Sulphur Prices Above $1,000/Tonne; Threatens India's Phosphatic Fertiliser Supply

The energy crisis has shifted from crude oil supply to refined products. Attacks on refineries in Russia and West Asia have caused sulphur prices to skyrocket from $200 to $1,000/tonne, severely affecting India's ability to manufacture phosphatic fertilizers. This distinct crisis poses a long-term threat to India's food security and fertiliser imports even as the country enjoys surplus refining capacity.

India's LPG Imports from US Hit 67% as West Asia Supply Falls 85% Amid Hormuz Crisis

India's LPG imports from the US have surged to 67% of total, a massive shift from the earlier 10% target. This diversification comes as imports from West Asia dropped 85% between February and June 2026, highlighting the strategic importance of reducing reliance on the Strait of Hormuz. For UPSC/Banking students, this is a key case study in energy security, geopolitical risk, and trade diversification.

US Diesel Export Ban Proposal: Global Supply Crisis & Impact on India's Net Exporter Status

A US proposal to restrict diesel exports, supported by President Trump, threatens to remove the single largest source (20%) of globally traded diesel from the market. For India, a net diesel exporter, this could mean higher export margins for refineries like RIL, though higher export taxes and domestic demand will limit gains.

IMF: Global Economy Weathered Strait of Hormuz Oil Shock via AI Investment Boom, Reserves Drawdown

IMF MD Kristalina Georgieva states the global economy has weathered the oil shock from the Strait of Hormuz closure 'better than feared' due to strategic reserve drawdowns and an AI-driven investment boom. However, risks remain tilted to the downside with rising bond yields, stalled disinflation, and the threat of renewed energy price spikes as winter approaches.

India's 8% GDP Growth Amid West Asia Shock; Structural Reforms Key for Sustained Growth

India's GDP growth is expected at 8% despite the West Asia conflict, driven by fiscal-monetary stimulus and export growth. However, fixed investment remains stagnant at 32% of GDP, and corporate capex is low. The article stresses urgent structural reforms to boost consumption, exports, and private investment for long-term growth. Essential for understanding current economic challenges and policy priorities.

PM Modi at SCO Summit: West Asia Crisis Threatens Global Energy, Trade, Supply Chains

PM Modi at the SCO Summit in Bishkek warned that the West Asia crisis (US-Israeli attacks on Iran) shows regional conflicts have global repercussions on energy, trade, and supply chains, disproportionately affecting the Global South. He emphasized dialogue and diplomacy over war, and called for unified action against terrorism without double standards. The summit also addressed connectivity, people-to-people ties, and India's SCO vision.

BRICS Summit 2026: Incubator Network, Startup Fund, Supply Chain Framework on Agenda

As PM Modi hosts the BRICS Leaders' Summit (Sept 12-13, 2026) with 32 countries/agencies, key initiatives like the BRICS Incubator Network, Startup Innovation Fund, and Logistics Supply-Chain Cooperation Framework are set for finalization. This marks a significant step in BRICS economic integration, especially relevant for supply chain resilience amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions.

India's Russian Oil Imports Fall 26% in August 2026 Amid Tighter Supply and Chinese Competition

India's crude oil imports from Russia fell 26% in August 2026 from record highs in July, driven by tighter Russian export availability and intensified competition from Chinese refiners. The drop led to an overall 8.4% decline in India's total oil imports. The shift signals market normalisation, with Russian oil expected to remain India's mainstay at 2.0-2.5 million bpd.