The death of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei creates a power vacuum with three potential scenarios: regime continuity via the Assembly of Experts, a military takeover, or regime collapse. The resulting regional conflict, including the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, threatens global energy security and India's remittances and oil imports.
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- ›Khamenei's Tenure: 45 years as Supreme Leader
- ›Succession Body: 88-member Assembly of Experts
- ›Target this Data: 20% of global oil supply passes through the Strait of Hormuz.
- ›Target this Nodal Body: The 88-member Assembly of Experts in Iran.
- ›Target this Legal Point: The constitutional role of the Assembly of Experts in selecting the Supreme Leader.
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