India-U.S. Interim Trade Pact Protects Sensitive Agriculture and Dairy Sectors, Targets Finalization by March 2026

Global Refinery Attacks Spike Sulphur Prices Above $1,000/Tonne; Threatens India's Phosphatic Fertiliser Supply

The energy crisis has shifted from crude oil supply to refined products. Attacks on refineries in Russia and West Asia have caused sulphur prices to skyrocket from $200 to $1,000/tonne, severely affecting India's ability to manufacture phosphatic fertilizers. This distinct crisis poses a long-term threat to India's food security and fertiliser imports even as the country enjoys surplus refining capacity.

India-U.S. Trade Pact: Exporters Urge Early Conclusion, Tariff Uncertainty Hits Orders, Trade Surplus Narrows to $33.9 Bn

The Commerce Ministry met exporters to discuss India-U.S. trade performance and market access issues amidst ongoing bilateral trade agreement (BTA) negotiations. Exporters urged early conclusion of the pact to reduce tariff uncertainties, as U.S. buyers have reduced order volumes. The meeting also flagged concerns over U.S. safeguard measures on quartz surface products.

BRICS New Delhi Declaration: India's Dilemma on Local Currency Trade vs. Strategic Autonomy

The BRICS New Delhi Declaration highlights India's cautious approach to local currency trade, balancing export advantages from a depreciating rupee against the risk of yuan dominance and US tariff threats. India supports local currency trade but opposes a common BRICS currency due to China's likely control.

India's Exports to Core BRICS Surge 34% to $19.9 Billion; China Leads

India's exports to core BRICS nations (China, South Africa, Brazil, Russia) surged 34% to $19.9 billion in April-August 2026-27, with China leading at 39% growth. This highlights the bloc's growing importance in India's trade strategy, offering a counter-narrative to the usual focus on Western markets.

EU CBAM: Carbon Border Tax on Steel Imports to Cost India €190/Tonne from Feb 2027

The EU has implemented the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), a carbon tax on imports of steel, aluminium, cement, fertilisers, hydrogen, and electricity. For India, this is primarily a steel tax—$5.4 billion of its $6.3 billion CBAM-exposed exports to the EU in 2024 were iron and steel. With Indian steel emitting 2.54 tonnes of CO2 per tonne (vs. world avg. 1.9), the tax could cut exports by 24%, and BRICS has formally opposed it as protectionist in the New Delhi Declaration.

India Negotiating FTAs with 8-9 Blocs, Targets 75% Global Trade Coverage

India is actively negotiating free trade agreements (FTAs) with 8-9 more countries/blocs, aiming to cover 75% of global trade. This strategic push, announced by Commerce Minister Piyush Goyal in Tokyo, positions India as a trusted partner in global value chains and opens up a combined GDP of $70 trillion for preferential market access.

India-Canada CEPA Talks: 5th Round From Oct 5, $70B Trade Target by 2030

India and Canada are fast-tracking negotiations for a Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) with the fifth round starting October 5, 2026. Both sides aim to conclude by end of 2026 and double bilateral trade to $70 billion by 2030, up from $30.4 billion in 2025. This signals India's proactive trade diversification strategy, relevant for IR and Economy syllabus.

US Imposes 100% Tariff on India Pharma Exports from 2028, Impact on $150 Bn Trade

Trump's unilateral tariff actions on Indian pharmaceutical exports (100% from 2028, rising to 200%) and use of Sections 301, 232, and 338 expose the fragility of ongoing India-US trade negotiations. Despite $150 billion bilateral trade and India's surplus, no signed agreement seems safe. India should prioritize trade diversification towards the UK and EU.