March WPI Inflation Hits 38-Month High of 3.88% as West Asia War Pushes Crude Petroleum Prices Up 49.1%

RBI Holds Repo Rate at 5.25% as CPI Inflation Hits 4.38% in June; Forex Reserves Near $700 Bn

RBI's MPC kept repo rate unchanged at 5.25% for the fourth time, prioritizing growth despite CPI inflation rising to 4.38% in June, above the 4% target. Elevated global crude prices and geopolitical uncertainties are key concerns. The central bank is using tools like dollar-rupee swaps and FCNR(B) deposits to manage liquidity and shore up forex reserves near $700 billion, while the rupee recovers to around ₹95.

India's GDP Growth Stays Above 7% Amid West Asia War: 125 bps Repo Rate Cut, Low Services Inflation Key

The Indian economy has defied expectations of a sharp slowdown despite the West Asia war. GDP growth remained above 7%, inflation stayed low, and current account deficit was contained at 0.3% of GDP. Key factors include 125 bps repo rate cuts, GST cuts, and resilient services exports and low services inflation. However, risks persist from rising food inflation, potential El Niño impact, and vulnerability of services sector.

BRICS Pushes for Local Currency Trade, Cross-Border Payment Linkage via UPI

Ahead of the BRICS Summit, member nations are pushing for local currency trade and linked payment systems to reduce dollar dependence. India's UPI is a key model, while the US has threatened tariffs on BRICS members. This signals a strategic shift in global financial architecture relevant for UPSC Economy and IR.

US Fed Raises Rates by 25 bps to 3.75-4%, Inflation Stays at 3.4% - Implications for RBI MPC

US Fed raised rates by 25 bps to 3.75-4% as inflation remains high at 3.4%. Trump opposes the hike but central bank independence is key. This signals global tightening ahead of RBI MPC meeting in October, raising chances of rate action in India.

India-Canada CEPA Talks: 5th Round From Oct 5, $70B Trade Target by 2030

India and Canada are fast-tracking negotiations for a Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) with the fifth round starting October 5, 2026. Both sides aim to conclude by end of 2026 and double bilateral trade to $70 billion by 2030, up from $30.4 billion in 2025. This signals India's proactive trade diversification strategy, relevant for IR and Economy syllabus.

India's Merchandise Exports Surge 19.6% to $44.2 Billion in July 2026, Trade Deficit Widens to $15 Billion

India's goods exports grew nearly 20% in July 2026, driven by recovery in West Asia trade and diversification to new markets like China, Japan, and Singapore. However, the combined trade deficit widened to $15 billion as services imports outpaced services exports, signaling a mixed trade performance for exam focus.

Press Note 3 FDI Relaxations Yield 29 Projects Worth ₹4,895.65 Crore by August 2026

India's Press Note 3 (2020) restricted FDI from land-bordering countries; relaxations in March 2026 eased rules for minority non-controlling stakes. As of August 10, 2026, 29 projects worth ₹4,895.65 crore have been reported from countries like Mauritius, US, Japan, and Singapore. This marks a strategic shift to unlock stuck investments, though it's less than 1% of total FDI in 2025-26.

World Bank ED Neelkanth Mishra: India Needs 10% Growth for Full Employment, AI Can Disrupt Education

Neelkanth Mishra, India's Executive Director at the World Bank, argues that India cannot create enough jobs for all at current growth rates, requiring 10% real growth for full employment. He highlights rising inequality as a natural outcome of labour surplus and capital shortage, and advocates democratising access to capital. He also discusses India's energy vulnerability, rupee stability, and the transformative potential of AI in education.