RBI MPC Status Quo at 5.25% as CPI Inflation Rises to 4.8%, WPI at 9.92%

IIP August 2026: Manufacturing Output Rises 9%, Consumer Durables Up 11.1%

India's industrial output (IIP) grew 8% in August 2026, driven by manufacturing (9% growth) and a favourable base effect from pre-GST rate cut inventory adjustments in 2025. While consumer durables posted strong 11.1% growth, the slow 2.1% rise in non-durables signals weak rural/FMCG demand, a key concern for the upcoming festive season.

India's GDP Growth Stays Above 7% Amid West Asia War: 125 bps Repo Rate Cut, Low Services Inflation Key

The Indian economy has defied expectations of a sharp slowdown despite the West Asia war. GDP growth remained above 7%, inflation stayed low, and current account deficit was contained at 0.3% of GDP. Key factors include 125 bps repo rate cuts, GST cuts, and resilient services exports and low services inflation. However, risks persist from rising food inflation, potential El Niño impact, and vulnerability of services sector.

UPI@10 Years: 86% of Digital Transactions, Government Allows Merchant Fees Under PSS Act Amendment

UPI completes 10 years with 86% of India's digital transactions, but the zero-MDR model is ending. The government has amended the PSS Act to allow merchant fees, aiming to fund the next growth phase in rural areas and cross-border payments. Key challenge: balancing inclusion with sustainability.

RBI Report Flags Resilient Q1 Growth at 7%, Warns of El Nino and Geopolitical Risks

The Indian economy shows robust growth momentum in Q1, driven by consumption, manufacturing, and public capex, but faces headwinds from geopolitical tensions, supply-chain pressures, volatile energy prices, and a strengthening El Niño. The RBI and Finance Ministry reports reinforce this view, with GDP growth projected at 7% for Q1.

India's July Retail Inflation Rises to 4.45%, RBI Holds Repo Rate at 5.25%

India's July retail inflation rose to 4.45%, the highest in 19 months, driven by food and transport costs. The RBI's MPC held the repo rate at 5.25% for the fourth consecutive meeting, balancing persistent supply-side inflation against weakening economic momentum. This is critical for exams as it tests your understanding of inflation dynamics, MPC decision-making, and the interplay between global disruptions (Ukraine-Russia) and domestic prices.

CPI Inflation Rises to 4.82% in August, RBI MPC to Meet Oct 5-7 for Rate Decision

India's CPI inflation rose to a 8-month high of 4.82% in August, driven by food price spikes in sugar (19% MoM) and onion (22% MoM). This strengthens the case for a repo rate hike at the upcoming RBI MPC meeting (Oct 5-7), which would be the first increase in 3.5 years. The news is critical for exam aspirants as it directly tests monetary policy tools, inflation targeting framework, and current economic data.

Global Agencies Upgrade India GDP Forecast to ~7%, RBI May Hike Repo Rate 25 bps as Inflation Pressures Build

Multiple global agencies (ADB, S&P, OECD, Moody's) have raised India's FY26 growth forecast to around 7%, driven by strong IIP, capex, and exports. However, inflation is expected to average 5.1% and the RBI may raise its policy rate by 25 bps, with farm sector risks from El Niño adding to uncertainty.

RBI's Forex Swap Facility Attracts $136.3 Billion, Reserves at Record $729 Billion, Liquidity Surplus Rises

The RBI's measures to boost capital flows have massively exceeded expectations, with $136.3 billion in inflows through the forex swap facility, pushing forex reserves to a record $729 billion. However, this has created a liquidity surplus of Rs 6.7 lakh crore, complicating inflation management and looming rate hike decisions. This is critical for understanding India's external stability and the RBI's monetary policy challenges.