Strait of Hormuz Crisis: Iran-US Conflict Threatens 20% Global Oil Shipments, Brent at $115/Barrel

Brent Crude Falls $4.08 as Trump Halts Iran Attack for Strait of Hormuz Deal

Oil prices crashed over $4/barrel after President Trump halted a planned attack on Iran to pursue a nuclear deal. The move has de-escalated fears over Strait of Hormuz disruptions, but OPEC+ also approved a 188,000 bpd quota increase, adding downward pressure.

Strait of Hormuz Crisis: Oil Jumps 5% as Iran-US Compensation Demands Stall Reopening

Oil prices surged ~5% as hopes for reopening the Strait of Hormuz faded after Iran demanded US sanctions relief and compensation, while President Trump counter-demanded compensation from Iran for past attacks. This standoff threatens global energy supplies, especially for import-dependent nations like India, and has pushed Brent crude to $87.72/barrel.

Iran-Oman Negotiate Strait of Hormuz Reopening: US Disputes Iran's Proposed 'Service Fee' on 20% Global Oil Route

Iran and Oman are negotiating a framework to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, with Iran proposing a 'service fee' for vessels using its controlled lane. The US strongly opposes any arrangement that grants Iran control or revenue from the strategic waterway, creating a complex diplomatic standoff with direct implications for global energy security and India's oil imports.

Pakistan Army Chief Visits Iran: Talks on Reopening Strait of Hormuz, De-escalation of US-Iran Conflict

Pakistan's Army Chief visited Iran to discuss reopening the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz and de-escalating the US-Iran conflict. The strait, through which a fifth of global oil passed before the conflict began, remains choked. This visit is part of Pakistan's broader mediation efforts, having previously acted as a guarantor for an interim peace agreement that has since derailed.

Strait of Hormuz Crisis: Oil Flows Drop 77% to 4.9 mb/d, Brent at $90, Risk of $100+

The disruption of the Strait of Hormuz – a critical chokepoint for 21 million barrels/day – is causing global oil supply risks. India, as a major importer, faces higher delivered costs and inflationary pressures. This is crucial for understanding India's energy security, import dependence, and macroeconomic vulnerabilities.

PM Modi at SCO Summit: West Asia Crisis Threatens Global Energy, Trade, Supply Chains

PM Modi at the SCO Summit in Bishkek warned that the West Asia crisis (US-Israeli attacks on Iran) shows regional conflicts have global repercussions on energy, trade, and supply chains, disproportionately affecting the Global South. He emphasized dialogue and diplomacy over war, and called for unified action against terrorism without double standards. The summit also addressed connectivity, people-to-people ties, and India's SCO vision.

US Strikes IRGC Targets in Strait of Hormuz; 5 Killed in Wedding, Oil Prices Cross $95/Barrel

The US and Iran have exchanged significant military strikes, ending a month-long lull. US Central Command targeted IRGC air-defence and maritime sites in response to attempted attacks on commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. Iran retaliated with missiles and drones, hitting a wedding venue in southern Iran, killing five and wounding dozens. The Strait of Hormuz remains largely disrupted, pushing Brent crude above $95/barrel and raising global energy security concerns.

Kerch Strait Tensions Risk Global Food Crisis as Russia-Ukraine Supply 25% of Wheat

The escalation of strikes on Black Sea ports, Kerch Strait, and Sea of Azov threatens to disrupt grain exports from Russia and Ukraine, reviving global food crisis fears similar to March 2022. With both countries accounting for over a quarter of world wheat exports and 60% of sunflower oil, the paralysis of maritime trade could spill over into food supply shortages, especially when compounded by West Asia war and extreme weather events.