WMO Warns 'Very Strong' El Nino Till Feb 2027; Threat to Monsoon & Winters

NOAA Projects 69% Chance of Historic El Niño Since 1950; IMD Reports Below-Normal Monsoon

A potentially historic El Niño is developing in the Pacific, with NOAA projecting a 69% chance it will exceed the strongest events since 1950. For India, the impact may lag by 40-45 days, likely after the southwest monsoon's official withdrawal, though the current monsoon is already 12% below normal.

160 km Oil Spill from Minoan Pioneer Threatens UNESCO Hara Mangroves in Persian Gulf

A major oil spill from the bulk carrier Minoan Pioneer, after being struck by a projectile, is threatening the Hara mangrove forests in the Persian Gulf. These mangroves are a UNESCO Biosphere Reserve, vital for marine nurseries, bird migration, and local livelihoods. The ongoing West Asia conflict is hindering cleanup, risking a catastrophic ecological collapse.

Nepal Demands Climate Compensation from US, China, India After Glacial Flood Kills 1,200

Nepal, emitting only 0.1% of global GHGs, is demanding direct compensation from the top three emitters (US, China, India) after a glacial collapse killed 1,200+ people. This shifts the climate debate from charity to legal liability, testing the limits of adaptation and the principle of climate justice.

NDMA Plans Comprehensive Study of Nepal Glacial Collapse; India Achieves 20% Ethanol Blending by 2025-26

A hanging glacier collapse in Nepal triggered a devastating flash flood, killing over 350, prompting NDMA to plan a comprehensive study to reduce GLOF risks in India. Simultaneously, India achieved 20% ethanol blending by 2025-26, five years ahead of schedule, but faces backlash from older vehicle owners; discussions on offering E10 alongside E20 are underway. The Kailash Mansarovar Yatra saw a surge in 2026 after resumption, and India-China special representatives reached an eight-point consensus on border management.

India-China Brahmaputra River Dispute: No Water Treaty, Data Sharing Suspended, Medog Dam (60 GW) Threat

India and China have no binding water treaty for the Brahmaputra; only two flood-season memorandums (2002, 2005) that China suspends during tensions. China's Medog mega-dam (60 GW) in a seismic zone threatens Arunachal and Bangladesh. India itself is an upstream withholder (Indus with Pakistan) and lacks a binding framework.

734 Dead, 3,000 Missing in Nepal Floods: Experts Flag GLOF Risks from 13 Damaged Hydropower Plants in Himalayas

A glacial lake outburst flood (GLOF) in Nepal, triggered by a glacier collapse near the China-Tibet border, has killed over 734 people and left 3,000 missing, including 320 Indians. Experts warn that unregulated dam-building across the Himalayas, combined with rapid climate change, is creating a disaster-prone landscape that demands urgent transboundary cooperation.

Black Carbon Crisis: 1/3 Himalayan Glacier Loss Linked to 32-42% Brick Kiln Soot Emissions

A new Systemiq report titled 'A Resilient Himalaya' links about one-third of Himalayan glacier mass loss to South Asian black carbon, with brick kilns contributing 32–42% of the deposition. Since black carbon is a short-lived pollutant, reducing kiln emissions can simultaneously improve local air quality and slow glacier melt — a rare fast-win climate action for India.

Parliamentary Panel Recommends Polar Ambassador and Full Arctic Council Membership for India

The Parliamentary Committee on External Affairs has recommended India appoint a Polar Ambassador and seek full-fledged membership of the Arctic Council. This signals India's transition from science-focused observer to strategic Arctic player, crucial for energy security, critical minerals, and new trade routes. The Arctic's melting is also directly linked to the Indian monsoon, making this a high-stakes geopolitical and climate issue.