Comparative Inflation Fight Cost: US Near-Zero Cost, UK Recession, India Currency Crisis by 2026

US Fed Raises Rates by 25 bps to 3.75-4%, Inflation Stays at 3.4% - Implications for RBI MPC

US Fed raised rates by 25 bps to 3.75-4% as inflation remains high at 3.4%. Trump opposes the hike but central bank independence is key. This signals global tightening ahead of RBI MPC meeting in October, raising chances of rate action in India.

India's Q1 GDP Growth Surprises at 7.8%, Manufacturing at 9.2% Despite West Asia Crisis

India's economy defied expectations with a robust 7.8% real GDP growth in Q1 FY26, led by manufacturing at 9.2% and strong services. However, the RBI's 125 bps rate cuts and a GST cut helped, but headwinds like high oil prices (>$80/bbl), deficient monsoon, and slowing global services demand pose a serious stamina test. For exams, this is a classic 'resilience vs. vulnerability' case study for GS3.

India's GDP Growth Stays Above 7% Amid West Asia War: 125 bps Repo Rate Cut, Low Services Inflation Key

The Indian economy has defied expectations of a sharp slowdown despite the West Asia war. GDP growth remained above 7%, inflation stayed low, and current account deficit was contained at 0.3% of GDP. Key factors include 125 bps repo rate cuts, GST cuts, and resilient services exports and low services inflation. However, risks persist from rising food inflation, potential El Niño impact, and vulnerability of services sector.

World Bank ED Neelkanth Mishra: India Needs 10% Growth for Full Employment, AI Can Disrupt Education

Neelkanth Mishra, India's Executive Director at the World Bank, argues that India cannot create enough jobs for all at current growth rates, requiring 10% real growth for full employment. He highlights rising inequality as a natural outcome of labour surplus and capital shortage, and advocates democratising access to capital. He also discusses India's energy vulnerability, rupee stability, and the transformative potential of AI in education.

JCRA Upgrades India's Sovereign Rating to A- on 7.7% GDP Growth, NPA Ratio Falls to 1.8%

Japan Credit Rating Agency (JCRA) upgraded India's sovereign rating to A- from BBB+, citing strong economic growth of 7.7% in FY2026, robust private consumption, public investment, and improvements in the banking sector. The upgrade reflects India's sustained growth trajectory and enhanced financial stability, with gross NPA ratio falling to 1.8% due to IBC and RBI supervision.

BRICS Finance Chiefs Back Local Currency Settlements; 8.14% of India's Imports in Rupees in Q1 FY27

BRICS finance ministers and central bank chiefs have backed local currency trade settlements and cross-border payment interoperability, including linking fast payment systems and CBDCs. With 8.14% of India's imports settled in rupees in Q1 FY27, the push signals a gradual shift in global payment dynamics and is a high-yield topic for economy and international relations questions.

RBI Holds Repo Rate at 5.25% as CPI Inflation Hits 4.38% in June; Forex Reserves Near $700 Bn

RBI's MPC kept repo rate unchanged at 5.25% for the fourth time, prioritizing growth despite CPI inflation rising to 4.38% in June, above the 4% target. Elevated global crude prices and geopolitical uncertainties are key concerns. The central bank is using tools like dollar-rupee swaps and FCNR(B) deposits to manage liquidity and shore up forex reserves near $700 billion, while the rupee recovers to around ₹95.

UPI Should Remain Free Public Good: ₹2,000 Cr Subsidy, ₹1,500 Cr Saved on Currency

The article argues against imposing surcharges on UPI payments, framing the digital payment system as a public good. It claims the real driver for the shift in policy is U.S. pressure, through tariffs and trade deals, to protect American financial companies (Visa, Mastercard) against India's free, state-backed UPI system.