RBI Worried as Aug 2026 CPI Inflation Hits 8-Month High of 4.82%; Sugar & Chip Prices Surge

RBI Holds Repo Rate at 5.25%, Focuses on Core Inflation Ex Precious Metals

RBI kept repo rate unchanged at 5.25% but signaled a focus on core inflation excluding precious metals (currently 2.5%) as the 'lodestar' for policy. This puzzling communication suggests potential rate hikes later if core inflation converges, even as headline CPI is expected above 4% target. Key for understanding RBI's inflation targeting approach and market expectations.

RBI MPC Keeps Repo Rate at 5.25%, Hikes GDP Growth to 6.7%, Lowers Inflation to 5%

RBI's MPC kept the repo rate unchanged at 5.25% for the second consecutive meeting, balancing growth and inflation amid global uncertainties. GDP growth forecast for FY27 was marginally hiked to 6.7%, while inflation projection was cut to 5%. This decision impacts loan EMIs, deposit rates, and the overall economic outlook, making it a critical topic for exams covering monetary policy and economic indicators.

RBI Holds Repo Rate at 5.25% as CPI Inflation Hits 4.38% in June; Forex Reserves Near $700 Bn

RBI's MPC kept repo rate unchanged at 5.25% for the fourth time, prioritizing growth despite CPI inflation rising to 4.38% in June, above the 4% target. Elevated global crude prices and geopolitical uncertainties are key concerns. The central bank is using tools like dollar-rupee swaps and FCNR(B) deposits to manage liquidity and shore up forex reserves near $700 billion, while the rupee recovers to around ₹95.

India's July Retail Inflation Rises to 4.45%, RBI Holds Repo Rate at 5.25%

India's July retail inflation rose to 4.45%, the highest in 19 months, driven by food and transport costs. The RBI's MPC held the repo rate at 5.25% for the fourth consecutive meeting, balancing persistent supply-side inflation against weakening economic momentum. This is critical for exams as it tests your understanding of inflation dynamics, MPC decision-making, and the interplay between global disruptions (Ukraine-Russia) and domestic prices.

RBI's Forex Swap Facility Attracts $136.3 Billion, Reserves at Record $729 Billion, Liquidity Surplus Rises

The RBI's measures to boost capital flows have massively exceeded expectations, with $136.3 billion in inflows through the forex swap facility, pushing forex reserves to a record $729 billion. However, this has created a liquidity surplus of Rs 6.7 lakh crore, complicating inflation management and looming rate hike decisions. This is critical for understanding India's external stability and the RBI's monetary policy challenges.

CPI Inflation Hits 4.8% (20-Month High), Raises Odds of RBI Rate Hike in October MPC Meet

August CPI inflation surged to a 20-month high of 4.8%, driven by food prices rising 5.7%. This increases the probability of an RBI rate hike in the October MPC meeting, especially with global central banks hiking rates and Brent crude above $100/barrel. For UPSC/Banking aspirants, this is a key data point linking inflation dynamics, monetary policy, and global spillovers.

RBI Faces Liquidity Surplus of Rs 9.7 Lakh Cr, May Use CRR/OMO to Drain Excess

RBI is grappling with an unprecedented liquidity glut of Rs 9.7 lakh crore, driven by massive forex swap inflows of $136 billion. This surplus risks pushing money market rates below repo and stoking inflation. The RBI must now deploy tools like VRRR, OMO sales, or even a CRR hike to drain the excess without disturbing the bond market.

Global Agencies Upgrade India GDP Forecast to ~7%, RBI May Hike Repo Rate 25 bps as Inflation Pressures Build

Multiple global agencies (ADB, S&P, OECD, Moody's) have raised India's FY26 growth forecast to around 7%, driven by strong IIP, capex, and exports. However, inflation is expected to average 5.1% and the RBI may raise its policy rate by 25 bps, with farm sector risks from El Niño adding to uncertainty.