India's CPI Inflation Hits 4.38% in June, Food Inflation at 5.32% Amid Deficient Rains and Fuel Hikes

RBI MPC Keeps Repo Rate at 5.25%, Hikes GDP Growth to 6.7%, Lowers Inflation to 5%

RBI's MPC kept the repo rate unchanged at 5.25% for the second consecutive meeting, balancing growth and inflation amid global uncertainties. GDP growth forecast for FY27 was marginally hiked to 6.7%, while inflation projection was cut to 5%. This decision impacts loan EMIs, deposit rates, and the overall economic outlook, making it a critical topic for exams covering monetary policy and economic indicators.

India's July Retail Inflation Rises to 4.45%, RBI Holds Repo Rate at 5.25%

India's July retail inflation rose to 4.45%, the highest in 19 months, driven by food and transport costs. The RBI's MPC held the repo rate at 5.25% for the fourth consecutive meeting, balancing persistent supply-side inflation against weakening economic momentum. This is critical for exams as it tests your understanding of inflation dynamics, MPC decision-making, and the interplay between global disruptions (Ukraine-Russia) and domestic prices.

India’s Gold Demand Shifts: Investment ETFs Hit Record 20 Tonnes, Jewellery Falls 17% in H1 2026

India's gold market is undergoing a structural shift: jewellery demand is falling (down 17% in H1 2026) while investment demand via ETFs, bars, and coins is surging. This dual-track trend, alongside a 124% YoY rise in gold-backed loans, signals financialisation of gold and holds major implications for India's current account, monetary policy, and financial stability.

RBI Holds Repo Rate at 5.25% as CPI Inflation Hits 4.38% in June; Forex Reserves Near $700 Bn

RBI's MPC kept repo rate unchanged at 5.25% for the fourth time, prioritizing growth despite CPI inflation rising to 4.38% in June, above the 4% target. Elevated global crude prices and geopolitical uncertainties are key concerns. The central bank is using tools like dollar-rupee swaps and FCNR(B) deposits to manage liquidity and shore up forex reserves near $700 billion, while the rupee recovers to around ₹95.

RBI Holds Repo Rate at 5.25%, Focuses on Core Inflation Ex Precious Metals

RBI kept repo rate unchanged at 5.25% but signaled a focus on core inflation excluding precious metals (currently 2.5%) as the 'lodestar' for policy. This puzzling communication suggests potential rate hikes later if core inflation converges, even as headline CPI is expected above 4% target. Key for understanding RBI's inflation targeting approach and market expectations.

RBI Worried as Aug 2026 CPI Inflation Hits 8-Month High of 4.82%; Sugar & Chip Prices Surge

India's August 2026 retail inflation rose to 4.82% (8-month high), driven by a 24% YoY jump in sugar prices and rising memory chip costs ('chipflation'). This puts pressure on the RBI's Monetary Policy Committee to hike the repo rate for the first time in 3.5 years. For exam aspirants, this is a classic case of supply-shock inflation testing central bank credibility.

Japan Credit Rating Agency Upgrades India to A- Sovereign Rating After 36 Years

Japan Credit Rating Agency upgraded India's sovereign rating from BBB+ to A- on September 2, 2026, ending a 36-year gap. This unsolicited upgrade validates India's structural reforms and macroeconomic stability, and pressures other agencies like S&P, Moody's, and Fitch to follow. The upgrade can lower risk weights for banks under Basel III, boosting bond demand and FDI.

Global Agencies Upgrade India GDP Forecast to ~7%, RBI May Hike Repo Rate 25 bps as Inflation Pressures Build

Multiple global agencies (ADB, S&P, OECD, Moody's) have raised India's FY26 growth forecast to around 7%, driven by strong IIP, capex, and exports. However, inflation is expected to average 5.1% and the RBI may raise its policy rate by 25 bps, with farm sector risks from El Niño adding to uncertainty.