IMD Forecasts 2026 Monsoon Rainfall at 92% of LPA, El Nino to Impact Second Half

Monsoon Revival: Rainfall Deficiency Drops to 11.5%, Kharif Sowing Gap Narrows to 2.9%

The monsoon has revived significantly, reducing cumulative rainfall deficiency from 22.8% to 11.5% and narrowing the kharif sowing gap from 20.8% to 2.9%. However, El Niño is strengthening into a 'very strong' event, posing a serious threat to the upcoming rabi season. Proactive supply-side management will be crucial for food security.

Maharashtra Drought Declared in 75% Tehsils, Monsoon Deficit 11.9% Raises Rabi Crop Concerns

Maharashtra has declared drought in nearly three-fourths of its tehsils, with the southwest monsoon ending 11.9% below average. The article warns of a poor rabi harvest due to depleted water reserves and a strong El Niño, urging duty-free imports of all pulses to manage food supply.

Kharif Sowing Recovers to 894.22 lh (2.9% Gap), El Niño Threat Looms Over Rabi Crops

Despite a strengthening El Niño, July monsoon revived with 2.4% above LPA rainfall, narrowing kharif sowing gap to 2.9% below last year. However, El Niño is expected to become very strong by Oct-Dec 2026, with lagged effects threatening rabi crops and global food prices, especially vegetable oils. India's food stocks remain adequate but inflation risks persist.

National Bamboo Mission: 13.96 Mn Ha Bamboo, 136 Species, Rs 28,005 Cr Industry – Green Gold Potential

Bamboo, 'Green Gold', offers rapid growth, soil stabilisation, and carbon sequestration. India has the world's largest bamboo area (13.96 Mn Ha) but low productivity vs China. The National Bamboo Mission (NBM) aims to strengthen the value chain, but challenges like poor connectivity and low yield persist. This article is a must-read for Environment, Agriculture, and Economy segments.

PM-KUSUM 2.0: Grid-Connected Solar Models Can Curb Groundwater Over-Exploitation

India’s PM-KUSUM scheme has installed 2.5 million solar pumps, raising concerns over groundwater depletion. However, the real issue is not solar irrigation itself but the model deployed. Grid-connected systems with feed-in tariffs and fee-for-service models can incentivize water conservation, while standalone pumps are better for rainfed eastern India. PM-KUSUM 2.0 must adopt a differentiated regional approach.

India's First Farmer Carbon Credit Payout: ₹2.5 Crore Distributed to 2,500 Farmers in Punjab & Haryana

For the first time in India, ~2,500 farmers in Punjab and Haryana have received carbon credit payments (totaling ₹2.5 crore) for adopting climate-smart agricultural practices like reducing stubble burning and economizing fertilizer use. This marks a major shift from penalizing stubble burning to economically rewarding sustainable farming, with satellite monitoring and ICAR-backed verification.

Hurricane Polo Turns Category 5; Strong El Niño May Cause 451,000 Additional Global Heat Deaths

Hurricane Polo has intensified into a Category 5 storm off Mexico's Pacific coast, with maximum sustained winds of 270 kmph. This is unfolding against an unusually strong El Niño that the WMO expects to persist through February 2027. El Niño is being watched closely because it can disrupt rainfall worldwide—the Climate Impact Lab projects 451,000 additional heat-related deaths globally, including about 15,800 in India.

E20 Ethanol Fuel Used in 4 Crore Vehicles; Flex-Fuel Engines to End ₹22 Lakh Cr Fuel Imports

E20 ethanol-blended petrol is being used in 4 crore four-wheelers and 20 million two-wheelers without harming vehicles and with improved mileage. Union Minister Nitin Gadkari announced that automobile companies will produce flex-fuel engines capable of running on 100% ethanol, potentially saving ₹22 lakh crore in fuel imports and boosting farmers' income through higher maize prices.