India's GDP growth data for Q1 2026 (7.8% real, 10.3% nominal) is under scrutiny. Surjit Bhalla argues the numbers are credible, citing double deflation methodology, evidence from tax cuts, and investment boom. The article also highlights concerns about India's per capita income stagnation and the daunting path to Viksit Bharat 2047.
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- ›Real GDP Growth (Q1 2026): 7.8%
- ›Nominal GDP Growth: 10.3%
- ›Target this Data: Real GDP growth 7.8% in Q1 (Apr-Jun) 2026 over Q1 2025.
- ›Target this Concept: Double deflation – separate price indices for outputs and inputs.
- ›Target this Institution: MoSPI (Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation) – responsible for GDP data compilation.
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