With cumulative monsoon rainfall 42.8% below normal by June 22 and El Niño forecast to intensify into a 'strong' event by August-September, India faces a serious threat to both kharif and rabi crops. After two bumper harvest years (2024-25 and 2025-26), global food prices have remained stable, but the worsening rain deficit and rising temperatures could trigger food inflation. The editorial urges the government to keep imports open, expedite crop insurance, and make VB-G RAM G a model rural employment programme from July 1.
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- ›Rainfall Deficit: 42.8% below normal (June 1-22, 2026)
- ›Monsoon Onset Over Kerala: June 4, 2026 (3 days late)
- ›Target this Data: 42.8% rainfall deficit by June 22, 2026; monsoon arrival over Kerala on June 4 (3 days late)
- ›Target this Event: El Niño forecast: 'strong' by Aug-Sep 2026, 'very strong' Oct 2026 - Jan 2027
- ›Target this Programme: VB-G RAM G launch date: July 1, 2026
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